Two rivals within the NFC South are set to collide this Sunday night. The New Orleans Saints are looking to maintain their spot atop the division. That could prove difficult against the always-game Atlanta Falcons.
It’s an interesting matchup between two teams with talented rosters on offense and defense. Here’s a look at the odds and best wagering options leading into game day.
Saints vs. Falcons Prediction
- Game total at over 42 points: -112 at DraftKings
- Atlanta Falcons at -1.5: -108 at BetMGM
- Kirk Cousins throwing over 1.5 touchdowns: +116 at FanDuel
The NFL week 4 NFL schedule is packed with games expected to be highly competitive. The Saints vs. Falcons matchup fits that bill perfectly.
This is a difficult game to predict, as both teams have clear paths to victory.
I ultimately side with Atlanta covering the spread at 1.5 points.
Kirk Cousins has looked better with each game so far this season. The Saints showed major defensive flaws against the Eagles last week and that won’t bode well for them in enemy territory on Sunday.
On the topic of Kirk Cousins, I fully expect him to throw for more than 2 touchdowns this weekend. Kirk may not be in the same form that he was pre-Achilles injury, but he is showing notable improvements through three games.
This game has the potential to be a high-scoring affair. The Saints have put up big numbers in two of their past three games.
If Derek Carr and Kirk Cousins come in ready, they can get this game past the total at 42 points.
NFL Week 4 Saints vs. Falcons odds
Fans around the country are split as to how the Saints and Falcons stack up against one another. Here’s a look at the odds from a few of the top betting platforms currently operating.
Saints vs. Falcons moneyline odds analysis
The New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons have both put on solid performances throughout the season.
New Orleans comes in with moneyline odds of +102 according to DraftKings. Despite a losing record over three games, the Falcons enter as the -122 favorites.
H3: Why the Falcons could win as the favorite
Best odds: -122 at DraftKings
Many questioned how the Atlanta Falcons would perform heading into the 2024/2025 NFL season. Most of these questions centered on Kirk Cousins’ ability after coming back from an Achilles tear in 2023.
Game one of the season did little to give Atlanta fans reason for optimism. Cousins appeared flat, leading to a disappointing 10-18 loss to the Steelers.
Cousins has improved in each start since then.
His last-minute drive to defeat the Eagles in game two proved that the Falcons are capable of making it far through the season.
Bijan Robinson and Drake London are also performing well in helping to get points on the board.
Atlanta has the ability to get past the Saints’ defense. Robinson, in particular, has the potential to break through a struggling Saints defensive line to gain first downs.
With Jessie Bates and Justin Simmons managing the backfield tremendously on defense, the Falcons can stifle New Orleans and earn enough points to get the victory.
H3: Why the Saints could win as the underdog
Best Odds: +106 at FanDuel
The New Orleans Saints have put on some great performances this season. They dominated the Panthers and Cowboys before losing a close match to the Eagles in week three.
Last Sunday’s game proved that the Saints have some things to work on defensively. On offense, they remain a threat to any team.
Which version of Derek Carr will show up on Sunday? The answer could dictate the winner of this game.
The Eagles will need to find a way to protect their QB without Erik McCoy. They should also focus on tightening up their defensive line to prevent Bijan Robinson from repeating what the Eagles succeeded in doing.
If the Derek Carr that dominated in weeks one and two shows up on Sunday, the Saints can pull off the upset here.
