The latest national presidential poll shows a change at the top.
The New York Times/Siena College poll shows Republican nominee Donald Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris by a point – 48% to 47%. It’s the first major poll in weeks to put the former president ahead of the Democratic nominee.
Numbers show Trump leading among men, voters age 45 and older and white people, particularly white people without a college degree, where he holds a 36 percentage point advantage. Harris maintains her lead with women, voters younger than 44 and non-white voters with and without a college degree. She holds a 64 percentage point advantage over Trump among Black voters.
Geographically, the poll shows Trump leads in the Midwest and South while Harris is stronger in the Northeast and West.
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Approval numbers between the two candidates are virtually identical. Forty-six percent of those polled said they had a very or somewhat favorable view of Trump compared to 52% who had a very or somewhat unfavorable view for a net of negative 6 approval rating. In comparison, 46% said they had a very or somewhat favorable view of Harris vs. 51% who said they had a very or somewhat unfavorable view for a net approval rating of negative 5 percentage points.
Fifty-three percent of those polled said Trump’s election would represent a “major change” compared to 34% who said he represents business as usual in the White House. Only 25% of those polled said Harris represented major change with 55% saying she would be “more of the same.”
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The economy ranked as the biggest issue among voters – 22% – followed by abortion (15%), immigration (12%) and state of democracy/corruption (8%).
The New York Times poll was conducted Sept. 3-6 among 1,695 registered voters with a 3 percentage point margin of error.
